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WDC
$295.65
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/15 05:12:46 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:29 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.33
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
75.8%
RV
109.0%
IV Rank
27
1y rank 27
IV %ile 30d
36
Implied Move 30d
14.7%
IV 52w Low
59.8%
IV 52w High
116.5%
RV 52w Low
40.8%
RV 52w High
125.9%
Skew 25Δ
+0.7642
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
60%
117%
47%
250%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
47%
120%
-0.11
0.82
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.33
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-1.05σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-1.0σ
3.3σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($280.00)
— ATM-1 ($290.00)
— ATM ($300.00)
— ATM+1 ($302.50)
63.5%
3000.1%
-30d
306d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-16
— 2026-10-23
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
spot $295.65
60.6%
3032.9%
$195
$398
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
40.8%
125.9%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
37th %ile
59.8%
116.5%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.33 pts | compressing +0.03 pts
+0.37
-0.37
2026-10-05
2026-11-13