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U
$52.81
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 21:01:24 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:25 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.17
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
51.2%
RV
68.4%
IV Rank
17
1y rank 17
IV %ile 30d
4
Implied Move 30d
10.2%
IV 52w Low
46.6%
IV 52w High
106.3%
RV 52w Low
30.3%
RV 52w High
162.7%
Skew 25Δ
+7.6292
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
47%
89%
30%
254%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
30%
81%
-0.32
0.65
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.35
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Stock Picker: high vol, low corr — name-specific dispersion
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-1.52σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-3.2σ
2.1σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($51.00)
— ATM-1 ($52.00)
— ATM ($53.00)
— ATM+1 ($54.00)
51.1%
4009.1%
-30d
397d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-16
— 2026-10-23
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
spot $52.81
51.1%
4009.1%
$35
$70
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
30.3%
162.7%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
3th %ile
46.6%
106.3%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.17 pts | widening -0.02 pts
+0.30
-0.30
2026-10-05
2026-11-13