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SOXX
$149.30
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 21:01:23 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:58 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-3.77
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
53.1%
RV
430.0%
IV Rank
68
1y rank 68
IV %ile 30d
72
Implied Move 30d
10.3%
IV 52w Low
25.0%
IV 52w High
66.6%
RV 52w Low
25.5%
RV 52w High
430.3%
Skew 25Δ
-0.6070
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
35%
67%
19%
148%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
31%
78%
0.23
0.89
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.64
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-0.65σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-2.5σ
3.4σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2
— ATM-1
— ATM ($305.00)
— ATM+1 ($310.00)
42.5%
88.9%
-16d
397d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
— 2026-11-13
— 2026-11-20
29.4%
88.9%
$198
$950
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
25.0%
87.7%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
80th %ile
25.0%
66.6%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.25 pts | compressing +0.03 pts
+0.29
-0.29
2026-10-05
2026-11-13