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S
$22.20
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 21:01:24 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:22 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
+0.01
NEUTRAL
IV (ATM)
74.0%
RV
73.1%
IV Rank
80
1y rank 80
IV %ile 30d
95
Implied Move 30d
14.3%
IV 52w Low
33.3%
IV 52w High
84.3%
RV 52w Low
23.8%
RV 52w High
79.5%
Skew 25Δ
+5.4467
IV ≈ RV — directional structures over vol bets.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
46%
79%
35%
162%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
43%
80%
-0.11
0.72
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.23
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-0.24σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-1.0σ
2.8σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($21.00)
— ATM-1 ($21.50)
— ATM ($22.00)
— ATM+1 ($22.50)
45.1%
70.5%
-16d
214d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
— 2026-11-13
— 2026-11-20
spot $22.20
43.6%
118.2%
$15
$30
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
23.8%
84.3%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
93th %ile
33.3%
84.3%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
+0.01 pts | compressing +0.04 pts
+0.16
-0.16
2026-10-05
2026-11-13