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RDDT
$98.45
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/15 05:12:46 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:54 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.73
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
60.1%
RV
133.0%
IV Rank
13
1y rank 13
IV %ile 30d
21
Implied Move 30d
11.7%
IV 52w Low
53.7%
IV 52w High
99.3%
RV 52w Low
34.5%
RV 52w High
136.8%
Skew 25Δ
-0.8599
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
54%
90%
23%
214%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
41%
137%
-0.04
0.62
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.29
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-1.94σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-2.6σ
4.2σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($96.00)
— ATM-1 ($97.00)
— ATM ($98.00)
— ATM+1 ($99.00)
59.2%
76.2%
-2d
397d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-11-13
— 2026-11-20
— 2026-11-27
— 2026-12-04
spot $98.45
56.1%
126.8%
$65
$132
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
34.5%
136.8%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
18th %ile
53.7%
99.3%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.73 pts | compressing +0.02 pts
+0.78
-0.78
2026-10-05
2026-11-13