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QQQ
$679.89
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/15 05:12:44 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:38 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.11
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
25.1%
RV
35.9%
IV Rank
54
1y rank 54
IV %ile 30d
80
Implied Move 30d
4.9%
IV 52w Low
14.6%
IV 52w High
33.9%
RV 52w Low
12.5%
RV 52w High
36.3%
Skew 25Δ
+0.0429
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
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Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
17%
34%
13%
61%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
13%
36%
0.84
0.96
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.90
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-1.28σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-0.3σ
3.2σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($678.00)
— ATM-1 ($679.00)
— ATM ($680.00)
— ATM+1 ($681.00)
29.4%
100.1%
-145d
397d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-06-23
— 2026-06-24
— 2026-06-25
— 2026-06-26
spot $679.89
16.7%
161.1%
$445
$915
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
12.5%
36.3%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
83th %ile
14.6%
33.9%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.11 pts | compressing +0.00 pts
+0.13
-0.13
2026-10-05
2026-11-13