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$13.27
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 21:01:24 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:18 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
+0.35
RICH
IV (ATM)
73.6%
RV
38.2%
IV Rank
47
1y rank 47
IV %ile 30d
71
Implied Move 30d
14.3%
IV 52w Low
48.5%
IV 52w High
105.4%
RV 52w Low
34.6%
RV 52w High
93.1%
Skew 25Δ
+4.1227
IV materially above RV — vol-selling structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
50%
90%
21%
213%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
35%
89%
-0.01
0.71
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.24
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Fragile Calm: low vol, high corr — quiet but tape-driven
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
+2.38σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-1.4σ
3.7σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($12.50)
— ATM-1 ($13.00)
— ATM ($13.50)
— ATM+1 ($14.00)
49.5%
4722.1%
-30d
306d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-16
— 2026-10-23
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
spot $13.27
41.1%
4722.1%
$9
$18
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
34.7%
105.4%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
67th %ile
48.5%
105.4%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
+0.35 pts | widening +0.00 pts
+0.35
-0.35
2026-10-05
2026-11-13