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OKLO
$23.92
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 21:01:20 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:31 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.36
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
80.3%
RV
116.6%
IV Rank
34
1y rank 34
IV %ile 30d
26
Implied Move 30d
15.9%
IV 52w Low
64.5%
IV 52w High
115.8%
RV 52w Low
58.8%
RV 52w High
129.1%
Skew 25Δ
+6.2850
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
65%
101%
25%
164%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
59%
120%
0.22
0.77
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.51
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-2.60σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-2.1σ
3.8σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($20.00)
— ATM-1 ($22.50)
— ATM ($25.00)
— ATM+1 ($26.00)
71.7%
4572.6%
-30d
397d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-16
— 2026-10-23
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
spot $23.92
68.6%
5252.4%
$18
$32
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
58.8%
129.1%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
19th %ile
64.5%
115.8%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.36 pts | compressing +0.02 pts
+0.38
-0.38
2026-10-05
2026-11-13