NOV

$18.09NEUTRAL

spot: 2026/11/13 21:00:43 UTC

analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:36 UTC

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Volatility Regime

Macro VCG—— · vcg = —

No dealer regime data yet.

VRP

-0.07

CHEAP

IV (ATM)

33.8%

RV

40.4%

IV Rank

22

1y rank 22

IV %ile 30d

16

Implied Move 30d

6.6%

IV 52w Low

24.0%

IV 52w High

175.0%

RV 52w Low

20.1%

RV 52w High

49.5%

Skew 25Δ

+0.0300

IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.

Building 1-year history… (≤30s)

Analytical time series

IV / IV-of-IV

— IV (L)— IV-of-IV (R)

Analytical time series

RV / SPY-corr-1m

— RV (L)— SPY-corr-21 (R)

20 sessions

Regime Quadrant

GoldilocksFragile CalmStock PickerSystemic Panic

Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking

20-session overlay

IV-z vs RV-z

-1.82σ

— IV-z— RV-z

Today's snapshot

IV by DTE

Term Structure

— ATM-2 ($16.00)— ATM-1 ($17.00)— ATM ($18.00)— ATM+1 ($19.00)

Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date

Smile

— 2026-10-16— 2026-11-20— 2026-12-18— 2027-01-15

IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP

HV / IV

— IV— RV

Last 1y

IV %ile Distribution

18th %ile

30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay

VRP Spread

-0.07 pts | widening -0.01 pts