MDB

$334.20NEUTRAL

spot: 2026/11/15 05:12:46 UTC

analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:23 UTC

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Volatility Regime

Macro VCG—— · vcg = —

No dealer regime data yet.

VRP

+0.13

RICH

IV (ATM)

88.4%

RV

75.3%

IV Rank

84

1y rank 84

IV %ile 30d

92

Implied Move 30d

17.1%

IV 52w Low

33.1%

IV 52w High

99.5%

RV 52w Low

33.2%

RV 52w High

112.5%

Skew 25Δ

-0.5074

IV materially above RV — vol-selling structures favored.

Building 1-year history… (≤30s)

Analytical time series

IV / IV-of-IV

— IV (L)— IV-of-IV (R)

Analytical time series

RV / SPY-corr-1m

— RV (L)— SPY-corr-21 (R)

20 sessions

Regime Quadrant

GoldilocksFragile CalmStock PickerSystemic Panic

Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking

20-session overlay

IV-z vs RV-z

+1.18σ

— IV-z— RV-z

Today's snapshot

IV by DTE

Term Structure

— ATM-2 ($330.00)— ATM-1 ($332.50)— ATM ($335.00)— ATM+1 ($337.50)

Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date

Smile

— 2026-10-16— 2026-10-23— 2026-10-30— 2026-11-06

IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP

HV / IV

— IV— RV

Last 1y

IV %ile Distribution

88th %ile

30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay

VRP Spread

+0.13 pts | widening +0.02 pts