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ELV
$429.69
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/15 05:14:08 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:36 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
+0.01
NEUTRAL
IV (ATM)
30.8%
RV
29.5%
IV Rank
14
1y rank 14
IV %ile 30d
25
Implied Move 30d
6.0%
IV 52w Low
26.9%
IV 52w High
105.5%
RV 52w Low
20.2%
RV 52w High
64.3%
Skew 25Δ
+0.0302
IV ≈ RV — directional structures over vol bets.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
27%
42%
14%
68%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
20%
52%
-0.28
0.41
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.01
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks: low vol, low corr — calm, idiosyncratic
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-1.22σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-3.1σ
2.4σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($410.00)
— ATM-1 ($420.00)
— ATM ($430.00)
— ATM+1 ($440.00)
30.0%
34.5%
5d
306d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-11-20
— 2026-12-18
— 2027-01-15
— 2027-03-19
spot $429.69
25.2%
64.9%
$280
$580
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
20.2%
105.5%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
21th %ile
26.9%
105.5%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
+0.01 pts | widening +0.02 pts
+0.17
-0.17
2026-10-05
2026-11-13