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CRDO
$131.51
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 20:59:43 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:56 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.22
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
107.8%
RV
129.8%
IV Rank
70
1y rank 70
IV %ile 30d
67
Implied Move 30d
20.8%
IV 52w Low
64.0%
IV 52w High
126.6%
RV 52w Low
55.6%
RV 52w High
132.4%
Skew 25Δ
-2.0497
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
64%
126%
50%
234%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
72%
132%
0.09
0.83
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.40
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-0.58σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-0.7σ
3.2σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($120.00)
— ATM-1 ($125.00)
— ATM ($130.00)
— ATM+1 ($135.00)
81.6%
1728.7%
-30d
334d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-16
— 2026-10-23
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
spot $131.51
78.1%
1728.7%
$90
$178
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
55.6%
132.4%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
72th %ile
64.0%
126.6%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.22 pts | compressing +0.02 pts
+0.29
-0.29
2026-10-05
2026-11-13