CRCL

$62.20NEUTRAL

spot: 2026/11/15 05:14:08 UTC

analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:50 UTC

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Volatility Regime

Macro VCG—— · vcg = —

No dealer regime data yet.

VRP

+0.02

NEUTRAL

IV (ATM)

70.2%

RV

67.8%

IV Rank

19

1y rank 19

IV %ile 30d

5

Implied Move 30d

13.6%

IV 52w Low

63.6%

IV 52w High

102.2%

RV 52w Low

53.9%

RV 52w High

153.1%

Skew 25Δ

-3.6403

IV ≈ RV — directional structures over vol bets.

Building 1-year history… (≤30s)

Analytical time series

IV / IV-of-IV

— IV (L)— IV-of-IV (R)

Analytical time series

RV / SPY-corr-1m

— RV (L)— SPY-corr-21 (R)

20 sessions

Regime Quadrant

GoldilocksFragile CalmStock PickerSystemic Panic

Fragile Calm: low vol, high corr — quiet but tape-driven

20-session overlay

IV-z vs RV-z

-1.88σ

— IV-z— RV-z

Today's snapshot

IV by DTE

Term Structure

— ATM-2 ($50.00)— ATM-1 ($55.00)— ATM ($60.00)— ATM+1 ($65.00)

Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date

Smile

— 2026-10-16— 2026-10-23— 2026-10-30— 2026-11-06

IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP

HV / IV

— IV— RV

Last 1y

IV %ile Distribution

14th %ile

30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay

VRP Spread

+0.02 pts | compressing +0.07 pts