COIN

$127.64NEUTRAL

spot: 2026/11/13 20:59:43 UTC

analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:56 UTC

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Volatility Regime

Macro VCG—— · vcg = —

No dealer regime data yet.

VRP

-0.01

NEUTRAL

IV (ATM)

67.4%

RV

68.5%

IV Rank

42

1y rank 42

IV %ile 30d

35

Implied Move 30d

13.2%

IV 52w Low

47.7%

IV 52w High

95.7%

RV 52w Low

38.1%

RV 52w High

123.0%

Skew 25Δ

+0.0995

IV ≈ RV — directional structures over vol bets.

Building 1-year history… (≤30s)

Analytical time series

IV / IV-of-IV

— IV (L)— IV-of-IV (R)

Analytical time series

RV / SPY-corr-1m

— RV (L)— SPY-corr-21 (R)

20 sessions

Regime Quadrant

GoldilocksFragile CalmStock PickerSystemic Panic

Fragile Calm: low vol, high corr — quiet but tape-driven

20-session overlay

IV-z vs RV-z

-1.13σ

— IV-z— RV-z

Today's snapshot

IV by DTE

Term Structure

— ATM-2 ($120.00)— ATM-1 ($125.00)— ATM ($130.00)— ATM+1 ($135.00)

Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date

Smile

— 2026-10-16— 2026-10-23— 2026-10-30— 2026-11-06

IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP

HV / IV

— IV— RV

Last 1y

IV %ile Distribution

44th %ile

30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay

VRP Spread

-0.01 pts | compressing +0.04 pts