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CARR
$54.20
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/15 05:14:08 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:46 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.01
NEUTRAL
IV (ATM)
29.5%
RV
30.6%
IV Rank
21
1y rank 21
IV %ile 30d
5
Implied Move 30d
5.8%
IV 52w Low
27.3%
IV 52w High
244.6%
RV 52w Low
14.7%
RV 52w High
59.4%
Skew 25Δ
-12.8332
IV ≈ RV — directional structures over vol bets.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
27%
46%
17%
78%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
15%
48%
0.07
0.87
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.43
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Fragile Calm: low vol, high corr — quiet but tape-driven
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-2.93σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-3.4σ
2.4σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($52.00)
— ATM-1 ($53.00)
— ATM ($54.00)
— ATM+1 ($55.00)
30.2%
60.2%
-16d
306d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
— 2026-11-13
— 2026-11-20
spot $54.20
28.3%
82.7%
$38
$73
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
14.7%
244.6%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
5th %ile
27.3%
244.6%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.01 pts | compressing -0.03 pts
+0.23
-0.23
2026-10-05
2026-11-13