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BLK
$1,222.91
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 20:59:43 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:48 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.07
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
25.0%
RV
32.1%
IV Rank
16
1y rank 16
IV %ile 30d
13
Implied Move 30d
4.8%
IV 52w Low
21.5%
IV 52w High
43.1%
RV 52w Low
17.7%
RV 52w High
38.5%
Skew 25Δ
+5.6343
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
23%
33%
13%
50%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
19%
36%
0.22
0.77
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.39
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-1.80σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-2.5σ
3.2σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($1205.00)
— ATM-1 ($1210.00)
— ATM ($1220.00)
— ATM+1 ($1230.00)
23.1%
37.6%
-16d
306d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
— 2026-11-13
— 2026-11-20
spot $1222.91
18.9%
57.1%
$800
$1640
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
18.7%
43.1%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
22th %ile
21.5%
43.1%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.07 pts | compressing +0.03 pts
+0.13
-0.13
2026-10-05
2026-11-13