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BE
$191.99
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 20:59:43 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:26 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.36
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
91.3%
RV
127.1%
IV Rank
15
1y rank 15
IV %ile 30d
34
Implied Move 30d
17.7%
IV 52w Low
75.3%
IV 52w High
180.0%
RV 52w Low
69.0%
RV 52w High
148.2%
Skew 25Δ
+0.7774
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
75%
180%
38%
506%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
69%
148%
0.24
0.85
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.49
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-0.94σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-1.3σ
3.2σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($180.00)
— ATM-1 ($185.00)
— ATM ($190.00)
— ATM+1 ($195.00)
78.1%
24074.6%
-30d
397d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-10-16
— 2026-10-23
— 2026-10-30
— 2026-11-06
spot $191.99
76.4%
24074.6%
$125
$258
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
69.0%
180.0%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
25th %ile
75.3%
180.0%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.36 pts | compressing +0.02 pts
+0.44
-0.44
2026-10-05
2026-11-13