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AMZN
$266.66
NEUTRAL
spot: 2026/11/13 20:59:43 UTC
analytics: 2026/11/15 16:41:32 UTC
Market Structure
Technicals
Volatility
Skew
Flow
Fundamentals
Trade Insights
Trade Plan
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Volatility Regime
Macro VCG
—
— · vcg = —
No dealer regime data yet.
VRP
-0.08
CHEAP
IV (ATM)
33.4%
RV
41.4%
IV Rank
37
1y rank 37
IV %ile 30d
52
Implied Move 30d
6.5%
IV 52w Low
23.3%
IV 52w High
50.3%
RV 52w Low
17.0%
RV 52w High
61.2%
Skew 25Δ
-0.0625
IV materially below RV — long-vol structures favored.
Building 1-year history… (≤30s)
Analytical time series
Analytical time series
IV / IV-of-IV
— IV (L)
— IV-of-IV (R)
27%
47%
9%
112%
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
Analytical time series
RV / SPY-corr-1m
— RV (L)
— SPY-corr-21 (R)
21%
61%
-0.04
0.83
2026-07-10
2026-11-13
20 sessions
Regime Quadrant
corr cutoff = 0.44
Fragile Calm
Systemic Panic
Goldilocks
Stock Picker
0 RVOL %ile 100
Goldilocks
Fragile Calm
Stock Picker
Systemic Panic
Systemic Panic: high vol, high corr — broad de-risking
20-session overlay
IV-z vs RV-z
-1.84σ
— IV-z
— RV-z
-3.0σ
2.6σ
2026-10-19
2026-11-13
Today's snapshot
IV by DTE
Term Structure
— ATM-2 ($262.50)
— ATM-1 ($265.00)
— ATM ($267.50)
— ATM+1 ($270.00)
31.9%
46.2%
-4d
397d
Today's IV by strike — one curve per expiration date
Smile
— 2026-11-11
— 2026-11-13
— 2026-11-16
— 2026-11-18
spot $266.66
23.8%
108.8%
$175
$355
IV (fwd ~30d) vs RV (trailing 21d) — lag is the VRP
HV / IV
— IV
— RV
17.0%
61.2%
2025-11-17
2026-11-13
Last 1y
IV %ile Distribution
52th %ile
23.3%
50.3%
30-session bars + smoothed z-overlay
VRP Spread
-0.08 pts | widening -0.00 pts
+0.18
-0.18
2026-10-05
2026-11-13